Citywire Athens Briefing 2024

Following the success of the previous editions, we are proud to announce that Citywire will return to Athens on Tuesday 22 October 2024 to bring together again a group of leading fund selectors for our Athens Briefing. 

Like so much of the financial world, the business of investment selection is changing faster than any of us can remember. Providing an energising afternoon, portfolio managers and investors will meet and interact, before we wrap up with a quickfire panel session. A sharp, clean new format that makes the very best use of everyone’s time. 

We very much look forward to welcoming you in Athens!  

FABIAN FUCHS - 110x110
Fabian Fuchs
Senior Relationship Manager
PIETRO CECERE - JUNE 2017
Pietro Cecere
Head of European Research

The registrations for this event are now closed, if you are interested please get in touch with ffuchs@citywire.co.uk and we will get back to you if a place becomes available.

Sponsors

Selector Spotlight

Redefining the Defence Sector: are defence stocks now ESG?
For years, investors stayed away from the defence sector in favour of ESG investments and exclusions for defence stocks had been raising. 

According to Morningstar direct, exclusionary investing strategies continued to increase in Europe for military and weapons till the end of 2021 and institutional strategies even went further when requested by capital providers.

Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, defence stocks surged, and some investors have changed their stance on defence, so the ESG credentials of these stocks have come into keen focus lately. This has proven particularly true in the Nordic region, as Sweden and Finland drew closer to joining Nato, while the Danish pension and insurance trade association advised its members to invest in the Danish military in order to meet Nato defence spending targets.*

The war in Ukraine has already prompted some fund management groups to change their approach to the defence sector so… 

  • What’s Selectors view, experience and feedback on funds investing in defence stocks?
  • How are the ESG fund managers selectors monitor and invest reacting to this trend? What have been the most successful cases tapped by fund managers investing in the defence sector?
  • Should defence stocks’ ESG credentials be re-evaluated?
  • Will this spur more meaningful revisions to exclusionary policies for sustainable funds? And will defence blast its way into sustainable funds?

In this brand-new session, our guests, Kristofer Dreiman, Head of Responsible Investments (RI) at Länsförsäkringar; Johannes Jögi, Head of Manager Selection, Asset Management and Sustainability Department at Folksam; and Erik Lundkvist, Chief Investment Officer, Partner at Coeli, will drill down on these and many more burning questions, bringing our audience precious food for thought and best practices to implement in this fast-pasted learning-curve, you need to keep up with.

*Citywire Selector: https://citywire.com/selector/news/why-the-finnish-fund-industry-doesn-t-consider-defence-stocks-as-esg/a2386371

Speakers

Selector Spotlight - The Debt Binge, investing and selecting funds in a world of debt

Bond financing has grown alongside expansionary monetary policies, in particular quantitative easing, since the 2008 global financial crisis. This trend is broad-based, from sovereign issuers responding to increased public spending needs in both advanced and emerging economies, to financial and non-financial corporations across the world so the total volume of sovereign and corporate bond debt globally at the end of 2023 was almost USD 100 trillion, similar in size to global GDP. At the end of 2023, OECD governments total bond debt stood at USD 54 trillion, an increase of USD 30 trillion since 2008. This is projected to increase further to USD 56 trillion in 2024 with the United States representing roughly half of this debt, twice its share in 2008. In addition, the cost of new borrowing in the OECD area increased on average from 1% in 2021 to 4% in 2023, while interest expenses rose from 2.3% to 2.9% of GDP over the same period. The longer average maturity of OECD government debt partially insulates public finances from yield hikes. However, the reprieve is only temporary, and by 2026, refinancing fixed-rate debt alone is projected to result in an increase of 0.5% of GDP in interest payments compared to 2023*. As this wasn't enough, the share of People's Republic of China (China) debt in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies has also doubled, reaching nearly 30% of the total outstanding amount. Sovereign bond issuance in Emerging Market and Developing Economies rose from USD 3.0 trillion in 2022 to USD 3.9 trillion in 2023, exceeding the 2021 peak. China's share of borrowing surged from 15% in 2021 to 37% in 2023. The credit ratings of low-income and lower-middle income countries deteriorated in 2023, with countries in these groups receiving 24 downgrades against 6 upgrades. Furthermore, Central banks have been reducing their holdings of sovereign bonds which increases the level of supply for the market to absorb and is changing the investor base for sovereign debt, leading to a growing share being held by more price sensitive investors*.

What are the investing implications of this Debt Binge for your asset allocation and fund selection? What countries worry you the most and the least? And do you anticipate any further downgrade and/or any potential default?  Has the US finally borrowed too much? Is the US national debt a risk to investments? Is China's growth buried under a great wall of debt? And what are the implication of China's debt on its stock market as the Chinese stock market aligns closely with government priorities and it's used to prop up state-owned enterprises? Have you changed your allocation to fund managers investing in sovereign bonds and corporate bonds? And what type of funds and fund managers in this asset class are you focusing on and where are you really finding value in this space?  Furthermore, sovereign green bonds seem to be getting bigger, stronger and more diverse in 2024 and a record 35 countries globally issued sustainable bonds totalling US$169 billion in 2023. Over recent years, EM sovereigns have contributed more to global GSS (GREEN, social and sustainable) sovereign bond issuance, accounting for 25 per cent in 2023, underscoring the significant climate finance gap for developing economies to build resilience to climate change and fund the shift to a low-carbon economy. ** What's your take on Sovereign GSS bonds? Last but not least, the world is awash with debt, what's your biggest fear?

Confirmed panellists
Vagelis Drogoulis, Fixed Income Analyst, Alpha Bank
Elizabeth Kechagia, Portfolio Manager / Investment Division, NBG Asset Management
Ilias Sylivanis, Investment Strategist, Hellenic Asset Management
Giorgios Vourtsis, Asset Manager & Fund Selector, GMM Global Money Managers Ltd

*OECD-Global Debt Report 2024. Bond Markets in a High-Debt Environment https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/finance-and-investment/global-debt-report-2024_91844ea2-en
** https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/wealth/sovereign-green-bonds-bigger-stronger-and-more-diverse-2024

Workshops

22
October

12:30 - 13:30

Registration and Lunch

13:30 - 13:40

Welcome

13:40 - 14:10

Fund Manager Presentation 1

14:15 - 14:45

Fund Manager Presentation 2

14:45 - 15:20

Panel

15:20

Networking Drinks

Register Here